Key PR economic index drops again; 1.8% fall is second deepest of 2014

A key gauge of Puerto Rico’s economy posted another drop in September, marking nearly two years of decline and its second steepest decline in 2014.

The Government Development Bank’s Economic Activity Index for September was 124.9, reflecting a 1.8 percent year-over-year decline compared to the same month in 2013. That was the biggest drop year-over-year since the index plunged 2.5 percent in February. It edged 0.5 percent compared to August 2014, stopping a five-month skid month-over-month and pulling up from a 20-year low.

Total non-farm payroll employment for September 2014 averaged 916,300, an annual increase of 0.2 percent.

Cement sales for September, a key metric of construction activity, totaled 1.10 million bags, a year-over-year decrease of 9.7 percent.

Electric power generation for September 2014 totaled 1,795.2 million kWh, a year-over- year decrease of 5.3 percent.

The preliminary number for gasoline consumption in September 2014 was 85.1 million gallons, an 8.6 percent decrease from September 2013. The monthly gasoline consumption figures were revised from March to June 2014, which affected the level of the index.

The EAI closed fiscal 2014 (ended in June) down 2.9 percent compared to the previous fiscal year.

The EAI had returned to growth in December 2011 for the first time since Puerto Rico’s recession began in 2006. It showed small but consistent year-over-year gains for nearly a year before beginning to retreat again in December 2012.
By : KEVIN MEAD

Key PR economic index drops again; 1.8% fall is second deepest of 2014

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